AGP Executive Report

Chad Refugee Education Inclusion: Chad is moving from parallel schooling toward integrating refugee students into the national system, with support from the World Bank and UNHCR via INSPIRE, as Ouaddai hosts over 1.5 million refugees and school-age demand strains local capacity. Cocoa Slump Hits CEMAC Exports: BEAC data show CEMAC agricultural export prices fell 21.8% in Q1 2026, led by a 24.6% cocoa drop, pressuring earnings for Chad and neighbors. Energy Prices Lift CEMAC Index: After a decline, BEAC reports a 0.7% Q/Q rise in the CEMAC export index in Q1 2026, driven by higher oil and natural gas prices. Seed Sovereignty Push in N’Djamena: Twenty African countries adopted the N’Djamena Declaration calling for legal protection of farmer-managed seed systems against restrictive IP rules and corporate control, warning that “bio-digitalization” could lock up genetic and farming knowledge. Entrepreneurship Spotlight: Africa’s Business Heroes (Jack Ma Foundation/Alibaba Philanthropy) named its 2026 Top 100 from 24,000+ applications, including founders from Chad, with sectors spanning AI, fintech, agriculture and climate innovation. World Cup Betting Boom: FIFA World Cup 2026 is projected to drive over $50B in global wagers, with tournament expansion to 48 teams and 104 matches expected to supercharge betting activity. Borno Cholera Warning: MSF recorded 7,850 suspected cholera cases and 74 deaths in Borno (May 1–June 7), blaming failures in clean water and waste management.

Cocoa Shock in CEMAC: BEAC data show Central African agricultural export prices fell 21.8% in Q1 2026, with cocoa down 24.6% driving the drop—hitting Chad and neighbors’ earnings. Energy Trade Lift: CEMAC export prices rose 0.7% in Q1 2026 as global energy prices rebounded; oil averaged $75.7/barrel (+22%) and natural gas jumped 23.2%. Chad Basin Under Pressure: A seed-governance push in N’Djamena produced the “N’Djamena Declaration,” urging legal protection for farmer-managed seed systems against corporate capture and restrictive IP rules. Refugee Education in Chad: World Bank/UNHCR-backed INSPIRE supports integrating refugee students into Chad’s national schools, easing strain from parallel systems. Tech for Africa: Google expands “Ask Gemini in Chrome” to Chad alongside Kenya and Nigeria, widening access to AI search and help. Business Talent Spotlight: Africa’s Business Heroes named its 2026 Top 100 entrepreneurs from 24,000+ applications, including founders from Chad. Security & Reintegration: Borno reintegrated 720 ex-insurgents under its DRR programme, renewing debate over amnesty and rehabilitation.

Cameroon Energy Deal: In Kribi, SCDP and PAK signed protocols to kick off a major hydrocarbons terminal project after President Biya’s financing approval—aimed at boosting petroleum logistics, energy security, and regional hub status. Chad Refugee Education: Chad is moving to integrate refugee students into the national school system, easing pressure from 1.5M refugees while keeping the curriculum and access aligned. Chad Food & Seeds Policy: A N’Djamena declaration by 20 African countries pushes legal protection for farmer-managed seed systems, warning against corporate capture through restrictive seed laws and “bio digitalization.” CEMAC Trade Signals: BEAC reports CEMAC export prices rose 0.7% in Q1 2026, driven by a rebound in oil and gas prices. World Bank Food Warning: The World Bank says 52.9M people across West and Central Africa face acute food insecurity in June–August 2026, with the Lake Chad Basin and Sahel among the hardest hit. Crypto Scrutiny: Libertas GH’s business rescue faces growing investor doubts over a reported R1.2B crypto-linked scheme, with legal denials but mounting questions. Tech Rollout in Chad: Google expands Ask Gemini in Chrome to Chad and other African markets, aiming to make AI search and understanding more accessible.

Nonprofit Trial in the US: A US court heard conflicting testimony over whether Springdale’s 2nd Milk paid its founder/CEO, Jason Carney, despite IRS filings saying officers wouldn’t be paid—while prosecutors allege hundreds were defrauded and funds were used personally. Chad Refugee Education: Chad is integrating refugee students into the national school system, with the country hosting 1.5M refugees and education support aimed at shifting from costly parallel schooling to inclusion. Migration Policy Spillover: The Trump administration is preparing a third-country deportation deal sending about 20 Iranian asylum-seekers and others to the Central African Republic, a move that intersects with Chad’s regional geography. Oil Accountability Shock (Nigeria): Nigeria’s Senate issued an arrest warrant for former NNPCL boss Mele Kyari over alleged audit discrepancies totaling about ₦210 trillion. Food Security Pressure (Lake Chad Basin): The World Bank warns 52.9M people across West and Central Africa could face acute food insecurity in June–August 2026, with the Lake Chad Basin among the hardest hit. Seeds Protection in N’Djamena: African countries signed the N’Djamena Declaration calling for legal protection of farmer-managed seed systems against restrictive IP rules and corporate control. CEMAC Export Lift: BEAC says CEMAC export commodity prices rose 0.7% in Q1 2026 as energy prices rebounded. Chad-Sudan Security Strain: Eastern Chad faces growing unrest amid allegations of support for Sudan’s RSF, with arms trafficking routes linked to border towns.

Refugee Housing Deal: UAE’s Arada Foundation and The Big Heart Foundation are turning “Home for a Home” into a year-round global initiative, with 3,550 sustainable refugee shelters planned in Chad in 2026 (with UNHCR) as Sudan conflict drives new displacement. Seed Sovereignty Push: In N’Djamena, 20 African countries backed the “N’Djamena Declaration” to protect farmer-managed seed systems from restrictive IP rules and corporate control, warning that “bio-digitalization” could lock up seeds and farming knowledge. CEMAC Trade Signal: BEAC says CEMAC export commodity prices rose 0.7% in Q1 2026 after a slide, helped by a 23% jump in energy prices. Food Security Warning: The World Bank projects 52.9 million people in West and Central Africa could face acute food insecurity in June–August 2026, with the Lake Chad Basin and Sahel among the hardest hit. Digital Access for Business: Google expands “Ask Gemini in Chrome” to Chad plus Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa, aiming to make information search and understanding easier for users. Illicit Gold Risk: GI-TOC warns illicit gold markets are outpacing regulation, fueling sanctions evasion, conflict finance and organized crime across Africa. Regional Security & Trade Links: Analysts urge MNJTF to adapt to Boko Haram/ISWAP threats around Lake Chad, while traders call for faster rehabilitation of cross-border roads to revive commerce into Chad and Niger. Labour Market Shock: Kuwait tightens domestic worker recruitment, banning many African source countries including Chad, raising costs and risks for migrant labour flows.

Digital Inclusion Push in Chad: Chad is seeking World Bank support to extend telecoms coverage to 500 underserved areas, aiming to accelerate national digital inclusion via the Digital Transformation Support Project (PATN) after a June 1–5 mission review. Regional Water Security: The EU and Germany backed a new Lake Chad water project to strengthen regional stability, while Lake Chad Basin funding of €11.25m targets water and climate challenges. Infrastructure for Trade: Cameroon signed an MoU for the Edéa–Kribi–Lolabé–Campo railway corridor with Africa Global Logistics and CAMALCO, boosting freight links to the Port of Kribi and connectivity for Central Africa, including Chad. Security and Logistics Pressure: Eastern Chad is described as an emerging frontline in the Sudan war, with allegations of arms trafficking routes and spillover risks that can disrupt livelihoods and cross-border commerce. Terror Threat Management: Analysts say the MNJTF must evolve to contain threats around Lake Chad as Boko Haram and ISWAP adapt, keeping pressure on regional stability and trade routes.

Chad Basin Security: Eastern Chad is facing fresh strain as allegations of support for Sudan’s RSF-linked militias spark tensions in Zaghawa communities, with analysts pointing to arms trafficking routes and illicit economies along the border. Regional Trade & Roads: Borno traders urged Nigeria’s PEBEC to rehabilitate dilapidated international road corridors linking Maiduguri to routes toward Niger, Cameroon and Chad, warning that bad roads and insecurity are choking cross-border commerce. Lake Chad Terror Threat: Analysts say the MNJTF must adapt tactics to keep pressure on Boko Haram and ISWAP, which increasingly operate from islands and swamps around Lake Chad. Digital Inclusion in Chad: Chad is seeking World Bank support to extend telecoms coverage to 500 underserved areas, aiming to accelerate national digital inclusion through the PATN push. Infrastructure Finance (Chad-linked): A World Bank package secured US$125m for Liberia’s energy, digital transformation and road connectivity—another sign of how regional connectivity funding is shaping West Africa’s business environment. Energy & Climate Risk: A study warns Africa’s regional solar power pools face rising “synchronization risk” under climate change, threatening reliability for cross-border electricity trade.

Trade & Roads in the Lake Chad region: Borno State traders, through BOCCIMA, urged PEBEC to urgently rehabilitate dilapidated international routes linking Maiduguri to Gambarou, Ngala, Baga, Banki, Monguno and Damasak, saying bad roads and insecurity are choking cross-border commerce and tax revenue. Security & Logistics under pressure: In Sudan, drone strikes hit markets in North Kordofan, killing at least 11, while damage to key bridges threatens aid and civilian movement as rains begin—routes that often run through Chad-linked corridors. Lake Chad Basin security planning: Analysts say the MNJTF must evolve tactically and technologically to keep weakening Boko Haram and ISWAP around Lake Chad, where militants increasingly operate from islands and swamps. Chad Basin assets protected: Borno Governor Zulum warned against auctioning serviceable CBDA heavy equipment as scrap, saying it would derail irrigation and the region’s economic recovery. Digital inclusion push: Chad is seeking World Bank support to extend telecoms coverage to 500 underserved areas to accelerate digital inclusion. Regional infrastructure investment: Cameroon’s AGL and government partners signed on to develop the Edéa–Kribi–Lolabé–Campo railway corridor, aiming to improve freight links to the Port of Kribi and boost Central Africa trade.

Rail & Trade: Cameroon’s government, Africa Global Logistics and CAMALCO signed an MoU for the Edéa–Kribi–Lolabé–Campo railway corridor, aiming to link inland production and mining to the deep-water Port of Kribi and the Kribi Port Industrial Zone (KPIZ), boosting freight speed and regional investor appeal. Digital Inclusion: Chad is seeking World Bank support to extend telecoms coverage to 500 underserved areas, with a mission reviewing digital transformation priorities to accelerate PATN implementation. Energy & Climate Risk: A new study warns Africa’s solar power pools face rising synchronization risk under climate change, threatening regional reliability when multiple countries see low-output days at once. Water & Stability: EU and Germany back a Lake Chad water project to strengthen regional stability, while Lake Chad Basin funding targets water and climate challenges. Security & Economy Link: Borno’s governor urged the federal government to protect Chad Basin Development Authority heavy equipment from being auctioned as scrap, warning it could cripple irrigation and recovery. Cross-border Commerce: Nigeria and Chad are discussing reopening a strategic waterway from Baga to Chad to restore trade and movement. Local Violence: Eleven people were killed in farmer-herder clashes in Chad’s Mayo-Kebbi East.

World Bank Financing: Chad’s neighbors and partners keep funding the region—Chad is seeking World Bank support to extend telecoms to 500 underserved areas, aiming to speed digital inclusion. Digital & Energy Push: The World Bank also backed major infrastructure in the wider region, including energy and road connectivity, reinforcing the push for reliable power and better transport links. Lake Chad Basin Assets: In Nigeria’s Borno, Governor Babagana Zulum urged the federal government to protect Chad Basin Development Authority equipment, warning alleged “scrap metal” auctions could cripple irrigation and recovery. Trade Corridor Watch: Chadian and Cameroonian customs officials met in Yaounde to make the Kribi–Douala–N’Djamena corridor safer and more efficient, with most imports reportedly moving through Kribi and Douala. Security & Livelihoods: Farmers and herders clashes in Chad’s Mayo-Kebbi East killed 11 and burned homes, while displacement pressures across Niger, Cameroon and Chad remain high. Climate Risk for Power: A new study warns Africa’s solar power pools face rising synchronization risk under climate change, threatening regional grid resilience.

World Bank Infrastructure Push: Chad is lining up major financing after a World Bank deal worth US$125M to expand energy access, digital connectivity, and road links, including support for telecom coverage in underserved areas and regional digital and solar projects. Digital Inclusion Drive: A World Bank mission reviewed Chad’s Digital Transformation Support Project (PATN), aiming to accelerate telecoms rollout to 500 underserved areas and boost national digital inclusion. Lake Chad Basin Water & Security: Borno State Governor Babagana Zulum urged protection of Chad Basin Development Authority (CBDA) assets after reports of serviceable equipment being auctioned as scrap, while also pushing for reopening the Baga–Chad waterway to revive trade and cross-border commerce. Trade Corridor Talks (Chad–Cameroon): Chadian and Cameroonian customs officials met in Yaounde to make the Kribi–Douala–N’Djamena corridor safer, more transparent, and more competitive for goods moving through ports. Regional Instability Spillover: Reports say 8,521 Nigerians sought refuge in Niger, Cameroon, and Chad between Dec 2025 and May 2026 as insecurity worsened across the region. Local Violence: Farmers and herders clashes in Chad’s Mayo-Kebbi East left 11 dead and several injured after livestock damaged farmland.

Chad Security Context: A new report looks at why military violence keeps recurring in Chad, pointing to overlapping drivers like political instability, insurgencies, ethnic tensions, resource pressure, weak institutions, poverty, and regional conflicts. Border Trade & Customs: Chadian and Cameroonian customs chiefs met in Yaoundé to make the Kribi–Douala–N’Djamena corridor safer and more predictable, noting that most Chadian imports route through Kribi and Douala and that customs efficiency is a key bottleneck. Lake Chad Basin Assets: Borno’s governor, Babagana Zulum, urged the federal government to protect Chad Basin Development Authority equipment from alleged “scrap metal” auctions, warning it could cripple irrigation and the North-East’s recovery. Cross-Border Waterway Talks: Zulum also met Nigerian commanders in Baga to plan reopening a strategic waterway linking northern Borno to Chad to revive trade after years of insurgency. Local Violence: At least 11 people were killed in farmer-herder clashes in Chad’s Mayo-Kebbi East province after livestock damaged farmland. Humanitarian & Migration Pressure: UNHCR-linked data says 8,521 Nigerians fled to Niger, Cameroon, and Chad between Dec 2025 and May 2026, with Chad hosting 22,025 refugees around Baga Sola and Ngala. Water & Climate Focus: A Lake Chad Basin water and climate funding push is highlighted, alongside broader reporting on unsafe drinking water risks across Africa.

Chad Basin Security & Assets: Borno Governor Babagana Zulum urged the Federal Government to protect Chad Basin Development Authority equipment, warning alleged “scrap metal” auctions could cripple irrigation and the agricultural value chain. Cross-Border Trade: Zulum also met security commanders in Baga and Kukawa to discuss reopening the strategic waterway linking northern Borno to Chad, aiming to restart goods movement and commerce. Local Violence: In Chad’s Mayo-Kebbi East, farmer-herder clashes in Kim sub-prefecture left 11 dead, with homes burned after livestock damaged farmland. Refugee Pressure: UNHCR data shows 8,521 Nigerians fled to Niger, Cameroon and Chad between Dec 2025 and May 2026, bringing registered Nigerian refugees in the three countries to 416,184. Water & Climate Risk: A new global drinking-water assessment flags unsafe water as a major public-health risk, with many African countries among the lowest-ranked. Business & Infrastructure: N’Djamena inaugurated the China-Chad Friendship Park, funded by CNPC International Chad, as part of urban renewal and community development.

Lake Chad Basin Water Funding: The EU and Germany launched an €11.25m regional water management push to strengthen water governance, climate resilience, and stability across the Lake Chad Basin, with support for monitoring, resilient infrastructure, and cooperation among member states. Humanitarian Pressure at the Border: MSF says drone strikes near Tina (Sudan, close to Chad) have intensified, treating 116 wounded people since May, including 69 admissions between May 17–26 and 35 injured from a market attack. Energy Access Tracking: AfDB rolled out Mission 300’s public “MapAfrica” tracker, showing electricity projects across Africa, including Chad, with millions already connected and more expected. Trade & Customs Revenue: Chad is studying Cameroon’s mobile phone taxation model after Yaoundé talks, aiming to modernize customs systems and boost revenue along the Douala–N’Djamena corridor. Chad–China Community Investment: N’Djamena inaugurated the China-Chad Friendship Park, funded by CNPC International Chad, featuring green spaces and community facilities. Governance & Security Context: Reports also highlight ongoing regional instability and cross-border security pressures shaping economic and humanitarian conditions.

Lake Chad Basin Water Funding: The EU and Germany launched the €11.25m Lake Chad Water Management Action (LACHAWAMA) to strengthen shared water governance, climate resilience, and stability, with monitoring, technical support, and investment mobilization for basin communities. Energy Access Push: AfDB rolled out the Mission 300 Progress Tracker (MapAfrica) to monitor electricity expansion across Africa, listing active projects including in Chad and tracking millions already connected. Chad-Cameroon Trade Revenue: Chad is studying Cameroon’s dynamic mobile phone taxation model to modernize customs and boost revenue, with talks also focused on improving the Douala–N’Djamena corridor and systems like CAMCIS and SYDONIA. China-Chad Urban Development: China National Petroleum Corporation International Chad funded and Chad inaugurated the China-Chad Friendship Park in N’Djamena, a 12,460 sq m project aimed at urban renewal and community amenities. Security & Humanitarian Strain at the Border: MSF says drone attacks near Tina (Sudan, by the Chadian border) injured 116 people since May began, including civilians, with severe injuries and delays in evacuation. Regional Finance Oversight: Banking regulators from across Africa met in Yaoundé for CABS to strengthen prudential cooperation and financial stability amid digital finance growth and new risks.

Lake Chad Basin Water & Stability: The EU and Germany launched LACHAWAMA in Bangui, backing €11.25m for shared water governance, hydrological monitoring, and climate resilience across the basin—aimed at protecting livelihoods and reducing instability. Border Humanitarian Pressure: MSF says drone strikes near Tina (Darfur, near the Chad border) have intensified, with 116 wounded treated since May and 69 admissions between May 17–26, including women and children. Customs Revenue Push: Chad is studying Cameroon’s mobile phone taxation model after Yaoundé talks, as Chad modernises customs systems to boost collections along the Douala–N’Djamena corridor. Chad–China Local Development: N’Djamena inaugurated the China-Chad Friendship Park, funded by CNP International Chad, covering 12,460 sq m with green space, play areas, and fitness facilities. Oil Pipeline Cashflow: Cameroon collected CFA12.2bn in transit fees from Chadian oil exports in Jan–Apr 2026, up 11% year-on-year, based on 16.1m barrels shipped via the Chad–Cameroon pipeline.